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Blue Cross ties hospital AI coding to $942 million in extra costs

An analysis by the Blue Cross Blue Shield Association finds more hospital stays coded as complex, with no matching rise in the care delivered.

By Alexander Bleu , 05:02 UTC

The Blue Cross Blue Shield Association says hospitals coded more stays as medically complex between 2023 and 2025, adding an estimated $942 million to its member companies’ costs. It links the rise to AI coding tools, now used by more than 60 per cent of hospital systems. BCBSA published the analysis on 24 September 2026.

Most of the extra cost comes from secondary diagnoses: conditions recorded on top of the main reason for a stay. They can move a claim into a higher-paying billing category. About 70 per cent of the increase, more than $650 million, is tied to them, BCBSA says.

Some of those diagnoses rest on a single lab value. That is the kind of detail AI tools find when they read lab reports and doctors’ notes.

The association found no matching change in the care patients received. Its example is anaemia after major bowel surgery, where diagnoses rose without a rise in transfusions. “If patients are truly sicker, we’d expect to see more treatment,” said Luke Chalker, BCBSA’s senior vice president of product and data science.

The study uses de-identified claims from Blue Cross and Blue Shield companies, which cover about one in three Americans, and BCBSA says the extra spending ends up in premiums and out-of-pocket costs. On the vendor side, Abridge founder Shiv Rao told TechCrunch that AI on both sides of billing risks bots fighting bots, though it could also cut costs.